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Weak August job growth and higher wages added to the risks of the U. According to statistics released by the U. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday, the U. Thus far this year, monthly job growth has averaged , In August, most job gains were in professional and business services, transportation and warehousing, private education, manufacturing, and other service sectors that benefited from the re-opening of the economy.

Yet there were job losses, too, such as in retail trade, where employment declined from the previous month. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate, or the percentage of people without a job but actively looking for one, dropped by 0. Lower unemployment helped push wages higher by 3. Job growth and unemployment data should be interpreted with extreme caution these days, for several reasons.

One of them is the spread of the COVID Delta Variant, a significant setback for the re-opening of business offices and the recovery of tourism and travel. Then there is the problem with the re-opening of childcare facilities to accommodate the return of parents to work. Plus, there are the generous government benefits that pay some people more to stay home than to return to work. Meanwhile, a drop in labor force participation in the last year by 1.

The good news for businesses is that the federal benefits that keep people out of the labor market expire soon, easing the labor shortages and wage pressures. Nonetheless, debt markets do not like the recent wage spike, as it adds to inflationary expectations.

That could explain a jump in the year and the year Treasury bond yields on Friday, which are most sensitive to future inflation. Meanwhile, equity markets do not like the weak jobs report either. Fewer jobs mean lower income growth and lower consumer spending. Compounding the problem is the weak July retail sales report, which was released a couple of weeks ago.

Retail sales declined 1. The report fueled stagflation fears on Wall Street. Now, the August jobs report comes to add to those fears. In short, Wall Street gets more evidence that the U. Stagflation is a difficult place for the Fed to be. It must choose to either defer its bond tapering program to help the economy grow and create more jobs, or go ahead with tapering to fight inflation. They must keep on guessing which direction the Fed will lean, to place bets on different asset categories.

A couple of weeks ago, weak July retail sales, combined with strong inflation numbers, raised the spectrum of the return of stagflation. This week, weak August job growth and rising wages added to these fears complicating the jobs of the Federal Reserve and of investors. Disclaimer: The information contained in this article represents the views and opinion of the writer only, and not the views or opinion of Tipranks or its affiliates, and should be considered for informational purposes only.

Tipranks makes no warranties about the completeness, accuracy or reliability of such information. Nothing in this article should be taken as a recommendation or solicitation to purchase or sell securities.

Tipranks and its affiliates disclaim all liability or responsibility with respect to the content of the article, and any action taken upon the information in the article is at your own and sole risk.

The link to this article does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by Tipranks or its affiliates. Past performance is not indicative of future results, prices or performance.

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Last Updated On 10 Jun, Nature of those investments will vary from company to company. Some of the major tasks performed by a stock analyst are utilizing data analysis to predict the gains and earning of a company, giving advice to the clients on management whether to purchase or sell, participating in meetings, conference and other events, providing support to the senior stock analysts and evaluating the annual reports. Buy side stock analysts work with the fund managers at financial firms and mutual fund brokers and on the other hand, sell side stock analysts are those who work for large investment banks. Roles of both types of the stock analysts will totally depend on the type of industry they are working in.

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Weak Job Growth, Higher Wages Equal Stagflation Fears By TipRanks

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